The Pickens Plan (long)

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  • jackellis
    Veteran Member
    • Nov 2003
    • 2638
    • Tahoe City, CA, USA.
    • BT3100

    #1

    The Pickens Plan (long)

    Unfortunately, I can't link to my source for this article. One thing that just cracked me up was a comment that he doesn't have an ego, followed by a statement in which he claims he's the only one who understands the problem.

    Right. And I have the only answer to world hunger.

    If Boone's become altruistic, it's because he knows the time for meeting his maker is not far off.

    Pickens Relishes Role As Leader in Push for Alternative Energy

    Apr 15 - USA TODAY

    Oilman T. Boone Pickens is riding the wave of a clean-energy rock star.
    At a Capitol Hill news conference earlier this month to announce a bill promoting natural-gas-fueled vehicles, lawmakers hailed him as an "American icon" and "great legend."
    A few members of "Pickens' Army" -- the 1.5 million volunteers who toil for his energy agenda -- clamored to take photos with the agile 80-year-old oil tycoon-turned-renewable energy advocate.
    As he ambled down the halls of a House office building, Rep. Ed Markey, D-Mass., head of a key energy committee, whizzed by and beamed as he interlocked the fingers of his hands, indicating the Democrat and the lifelong Republican are working nicely together -- at least on energy issues.
    Nine months after unwrapping his "Pickens Plan" with a barrage of TV ads that made him a household brand, the hard-boiled billionaire has enjoyed mixed success turning his blueprint for weaning the nation off imported oil into concrete action or legislation.
    But that may be beside the point. As the nation sketches out a road map to combat global warming and foster energy independence, Pickens has a seat at the head table with luminaries such as former vice president Al Gore and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev.
    "I feel great," he says in his familiar, matter-of-fact drawl when asked if he's frustrated by some of the bumps. "I'm there with Reid, and he's saying, 'Boone says this, Boone believes this, we agree on that.' "
    Don't mistake Pickens for a conservationist. His "mission," wrapped snugly within the American flag, is to reduce U.S. dependence on foreign oil for 67% of its motor fuel. Pickens opposes the global warming bill in Congress because it would burden consumers with higher energy costs. His newfound bond with environmentalists -- whom he absently called "greenies" before quickly noting he means nothing derogatory by it -- is a happy intersection of disparate agendas, one that both sides are eager to exploit. "What I propose gets you to exactly what they want," Pickens says.
    The proposal, unveiled last July in the run-up to the election, was for the nation to build enough wind energy to meet 20% of its electricity needs in 10 years. That, in turn, would allow natural gas -- plentiful in the USA and now burned mostly to generate power -- to fuel as much as a third of the nation's trucks and cars. Natural gas also emits 15% to 20% less carbon dioxide than petroleum-based fuels.
    Money where his mouth is
    Pickens pumped $60 million of his own cash into a homespun nationwide TV ad campaign in which he upbraids politicians for their decades-long inaction and casts natural gas as a "bridge fuel" until renewable energy such as biofuels are ready.
    Critics point out that Pickens would benefit handsomely if his idea takes off. He planned to spend $10 billion on a mammoth, 2,700-turbine wind farm in the Texas Panhandle. And his company, Clean Energy Fuels, is the nation's largest owner of natural gas fueling stations. Says Pickens: "I've got enough money. If I was after the money, I wouldn't put up $60 million. Will I ever get it back? I get it back if we get an energy plan."
    Then came the economic downturn and credit crisis. After plunking down $150 million toward the first 700 wind turbines, he's been unable to obtain financing for the rest of the wind project. "Now, the money isn't there," he says as he lunches on goat cheese salad and Diet Coke at the Ritz-Carlton. He adds, "I'd like to have my 150 million back," but, "I've got to carry it through."
    Without capital to build a high-voltage line to transport his wind energy to East Texas population centers, Pickens is now looking to scuttle the giant wind farm. Instead, he'd like to team with other developers to disperse fewer total turbines among 10 or so smaller projects. "It's causing you to scramble, but ****, we've been there before," he says.
    Another momentum-killer came when crude prices plunged from $147 last July to about $50, siphoning some of the public's anger about imported oil. "People are not outraged," Pickens says, though "they understand the price is going back up."
    The value of his energy hedge fund, BP Capital Management, fell 97%, or more than $1 billion, during the last three months of 2008, Bloomberg News reported.
    Meantime, Fred Smith, CEO of FedEx, whose fleet includes 80,000 cars and trucks, has extolled the virtues of hybrids, saying it would be too difficult to build a vast distribution infrastructure for natural gas vehicles.
    Pickens now has a more modest goal: converting 350,000 of the nation's 6 million heavy-duty, diesel-power trucks to natural gas. Batteries aren't viable options for big 18-wheelers.
    "I haven't changed anything," Pickens insists. "You don't shoot for the moon from the start."
    Winning some, losing some
    He has notched some victories. When AT&T CEO Randall Stephenson trumpeted plans last month to spend $350 million to buy about 8,000 compressed natural gas fleet vehicles, he gave a nod to Pickens. So did Lee Scott, CEO of Wal-Mart, which is testing four liquefied natural gas trucks at its Apple Valley, Calif., distribution center. At a recent Washington, D.C., conference, Scott credited Pickens' "ability to twist an arm," adding, "Boone, so please don't call me anymore."
    Pickens' hardball tactics fell flat when he tried to convince Bill Graves, CEO of the American Trucking Association, that all new long-haul trucks should run on natural gas. Graves says natural gas trucks are at least $40,000 more costly than diesel models. They have more limited range. And there's no national network of fueling stations.
    When Graves resisted, according to The Wall Street Journal, Pickens leaped: "Bill, I just want to warn you on this. I'm going to make you look unpatriotic for supporting foreign oil."
    Says Graves: "I thought it was a little outrageous. ... I think Boone has kind of an idea that it's one size fits all."
    Pickens says his warning "was a joke." Yet, he adds that Graves eventually will "come with me, because truckers are like Marines. They're Americans."
    The oil magnate has faced similar headwinds as he seeks to turn his ideas into law. A California referendum to spend $5 billion promoting natural gas, sponsored and funded heavily by Clean Energy Fuels -- which kicked in $19 million -- was soundly defeated last November.
    He also wanted to include a raft of natural gas incentives in the economic stimulus bill, but most didn't make the cut. Pickens takes some credit for provisions promoting wind and solar energy, as well as a smart electric grid. But Bill Wicker, spokesman for the Senate Energy committee, notes that President Obama touted those initiatives during his campaign.
    Lawmakers say Pickens' real impact lies in his ability to draw both Democrats and Republicans into the clean-energy fold. Reid says Pickens was a big reason he was able to corral three Republican votes for the $787 billion stimulus package. That paved the way for passage by overcoming a big procedural hurdle.
    "I never thought I'd grow to like the guy, he's such a Republican rat," Reid says of Pickens, who helped fund the Swift boat ads that helped doom Democrat John Kerry's 2004 presidential bid. "But he's a good person, and he's really helped us with Republicans."
    Sierra Club chief Carl Pope says Pickens "has changed the political conversation."
    Rep. Dan Boren, D-Okla., author of the natural gas bill, says the energy mogul didn't spark the legislation, but "it would not pass without" him. "People of all sorts of political stripes can be on board."
    The measure would mark the biggest step so far toward Pickens' vision. It includes fresh incentives for manufacturers to make gas-powered vehicles, companies to buy them and fueling stations to install pumps.
    Pickens has little patience for skeptics who believe his campaign was built to feed a robust ego. "(Expletive) ego," he says. "Really, the way I saw myself is, 'You're the only one that understands the problem, and you're the only one that has a solution.' "
    "It's all about America," he adds. "If you're a good American, you accept the mission and go out and do it. It's the biggest thing I ever worked on in my career."
    That doesn't mean Pickens isn't enjoying the limelight. At the Capitol Hill news conference, as the cameras flashed, someone called him a rock star. "An 80-year-old rock star," he responded with a half smile. (c) Copyright 2009 USA TODAY, a division of Gannett Co. Inc.
    Last edited by jackellis; 04-16-2009, 11:43 PM.
  • cgallery
    Veteran Member
    • Sep 2004
    • 4503
    • Milwaukee, WI
    • BT3K

    #2
    Originally posted by jackellis
    Critics point out that Pickens would benefit handsomely if his idea takes off. He planned to spend $10 billion on a mammoth, 2,700-turbine wind farm in the Texas Panhandle. And his company, Clean Energy Fuels, is the nation's largest owner of natural gas fueling stations. Says Pickens: "I've got enough money. If I was after the money, I wouldn't put up $60 million. Will I ever get it back? I get it back if we get an energy plan."
    I think that part speaks volumes.

    BTW, How much natural gas do we have? Is there enough for us to materially reduce our reliance on foreign oil?

    Comment

    • Daryl
      Senior Member
      • May 2004
      • 831
      • .

      #3
      I also heard he has a LOT of water rights and can't get it to where it is saleabe at. If he has utility right of ways to get his energy to market he will be able to use the same government provided rights of way to get his water to market. He is a shrewd man.
      Sometimes the old man passed out and left the am radio on so I got to hear the oldie songs and current event kind of things

      Comment

      • Uncle Cracker
        The Full Monte
        • May 2007
        • 7091
        • Sunshine State
        • BT3000

        #4
        Does anybody really think that "big oil" has just been sitting around doing nothing these last few years as the need to explore alternative energy has become more imperative? Then I'd like to sell you some bridges...

        Oil isn't just about oil... It's about power (and I mean that in the broadest sense of the word). Who better to benefit by monopolizing the development of global alternative energy resources than big oil? And who is better positioned? Better funded?

        The only thing surprising is how easily Pickins and others of his ilk have reinvented and repackaged themselves to make all this maneuvering and posturing appear to be some noble cause worthy of our undying gratitude. Ridiculous.

        Comment

        • jackellis
          Veteran Member
          • Nov 2003
          • 2638
          • Tahoe City, CA, USA.
          • BT3100

          #5
          BTW, How much natural gas do we have? Is there enough for us to materially reduce our reliance on foreign oil?
          I work in the electricity business and I am not as familiar with natural gas but there are a couple of things about the Pickens plan that bother me.

          First, Boone makes a lot of money and as UC points out, he gets to be a more powerful man if people do as he suggests.

          Second, we switch surface transportation from dependency on imported oil to imported gas as domestic supplies start to decline, which they will at some point.

          Third, what happens on cold days when we need gas for heating. Right now industrial customers and electric generators are subject to curtailment when gas is in short supply. Are we going to have to choose between driving and staying warm? Or do we build lots more pipeline capacity so that gas can be delivered where and when it's needed?

          Fourth, there is a large freaking hole in Mr. Pickens' logic about gas as a bridge fuel, which is related to the amount of time it will take to move people from one fuel to another. Probably 30 years. If we're starting to run short of gas by the time folks have switched away from petroleum, I would imagine our children (well ok, YOUR children) will be pretty cheesed at what we've done to them.

          We clearly have to reduce our reliance on petroleum for reasons of national security more than because there might be a relationship to climate change. We need to look at multiple alternatives like electricity, biofuels, mass transit and pedal power. Compressed natural gas is already used in a lot of cities and it might make sense for mass transit and other urban uses. But IMHO Mr. Pickens is an opportunist (he used to be a corporate raider for those too young to remember), not our savior.

          Comment

          • JR
            The Full Monte
            • Feb 2004
            • 5636
            • Eugene, OR
            • BT3000

            #6
            Originally posted by jackellis
            But IMHO Mr. Pickens is an opportunist (he used to be a corporate raider for those too young to remember), not our savior.
            I agree that Pickens is a shrewd operator. He's made and lost and remade several fortunes. He is surely positioned to make loads of money based on his ideas.

            What I like about his efforts:
            1. His concepts are a far-reaching and interconnected. We need a comprehensive engergy policy. Pickens is one of the most experienced operators in the field and he has put a lot of thought into this. His ideas at least pass the smell test.

            2. He is voluntarily active in the making of government policy. His participation in Washington panels on policy making has been very enlightening. As we have seen recently, business people are not universally well received in Washington. That he would subject himself to the pain and anguish of exposure to the sausage makers says a lot about how serious he is.

            JR
            JR

            Comment

            • tommyt654
              Veteran Member
              • Nov 2008
              • 2334

              #7
              Is it just me. why aren,t we paying $4.00 for a gal of gas anymore? Did the global use of oil suddenly shrink? Are there less vehicles on the worlds roads today?Are there fewer people driving? What happened to all the BIG oil Co,s B.S. about global supply and demand. We,ve all been hoodwinked by these clowns and Pickens is no different.I,d just love it if we had an investigation that was truly about these Oil and gas comps. that wasnt bought off in someway so Americans could see the real truth behind the Global Meltdown

              Comment

              • jackellis
                Veteran Member
                • Nov 2003
                • 2638
                • Tahoe City, CA, USA.
                • BT3100

                #8
                Is it just me. why aren,t we paying $4.00 for a gal of gas anymore? Did the global use of oil suddenly shrink? Are there less vehicles on the worlds roads today?Are there fewer people driving?
                In answer to the last three questions, yes, yes and yes. Driving and gasoline use are down in California. Fuel use by railroads and truckers is down in a slowing economy. OPEC has also cut production a little. See for yourself.

                The last time there was a "glut" of oil, benchmark prices dropped to $10, which covered the Saudis' direct production and transportation costs. This time prices are hovering around $50, likely because that number reflects something close to the incremental cost of lifting and transportation. As economies recover and demand increases around the world, so will prices for oil and everything that's made from it.

                Comment

                • tommyt654
                  Veteran Member
                  • Nov 2008
                  • 2334

                  #9
                  I don,t buy that for 1 second. That hovering is only there to keep it relative to the sudden increase they will burden us with as they call it the summer driving season comes upon us. They,ll jack up the prices just like last time and claim a bogus supply and demand crap again. If your scenario where true then why hasn,t they price of gasoline dropped in coalition with the drop in oil cost. 1 word GREED. Market manipulation by larger corporations is still going on under Congress,s nose. While those bumbling idiots at the SEC twiddle there thumbs getting rich off the backs of the working class.We will again see $3-$3.50 a gal gas this year and there will not be a giant global demand. Just more global B.S.

                  Comment

                  • jackellis
                    Veteran Member
                    • Nov 2003
                    • 2638
                    • Tahoe City, CA, USA.
                    • BT3100

                    #10
                    That hovering is only there to keep it relative to the sudden increase they will burden us with as they call it the summer driving season comes upon us. They,ll jack up the prices just like last time and claim a bogus supply and demand crap again.
                    The current wholesale price of unleaded regular gasoline is around $1.33 according to this report. Last summer it was around $3.50. Oil is trading at around 1/3 of last summer's peak price so the price of gasoline has not fallen quite as much as the price of oil, but the relative price changes of oil and wholesale gasoline are close enough.

                    The relative difference in pump prices is smaller because pump prices include sales, excise and other taxes. This page is pretty interesting.

                    Personally I don't get too excited over the price of gasoline. Sure, it's expensive at $4/gallon for regular and more than $5/gallon for the aviation gas I also buy, but that just means I need to use less of the stuff. When Toyota comes out with a small 4WD diesel version of the Tacoma, I will buy one.

                    High oil prices make it pretty attractive for domestic oil companies to produce more oil, reduces oil imports, and gets creative people thinking about how to make fuel in other ways. Seems like those options make a lot more sense than borrowing money from China so we can buy oil from unfriendly places like Iran and Venezuela.

                    In the meantime, I'm counting on high fuel prices and fat gasoline refining margins to fund my retirement. So is everyone else who owns mutual funds or has some kind of sponsored retirement plan.

                    By the way, I don't work for an oil company and never have. I don't think there's a conspiracy based on the facts I've seen. I also don't think we're going to run out of oil for a long time, but all of the oil that literally gushes out of the ground has been used up and what's left is going to be really expensive to find and extract.

                    Comment

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